Homebuilders, Homebuyers: the squeeze is on.

Canada currently builds around 200,000 homes per year. The peak was in 1974, when 260,000 homes were built—at a time when Canada’s population was only 23 million.

To meet the demand:

  • 3.5 million homes over seven years = 500,000 homes per year
  • This is 2.5 times the current output

Understanding the Demand

The Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) estimates that 2 million homes are urgently needed.

The majority of this shortfall—80 percent—is concentrated in Ontario, British Columbia, and Alberta.

Insights from the CHBA Housing Market Index

The Q4 CHBA Housing Market Index highlights that the housing crisis is rooted in affordability constraints, high material costs, and regulatory barriers. These are not just supply issues but deeper economic and policy-related challenges.

The Role of Government Policy

Government policies have a major impact on home construction and affordability. There is a complex relationship between policies that restrict home construction and their effects on homeownership and housing costs.

Technological Innovations as a Solution

When systems become structurally broken, innovation and disruption can drive change—if there is the motivation to act.

Innovative construction technologies, such as modular building and 3D printing, could revolutionize the industry by reducing costs and accelerating construction timelines. These advancements are already in use, such as prebuilt trusses and precast concrete. It is now possible to ship a bar from Ireland and assemble it in a local town—a trend that is likely to expand.

Navigating Municipal Processes

AI and digital platforms can help streamline municipal approval processes, which are a major bottleneck in housing development. Faster permit processing and improved regulatory compliance could remove critical delays.

Incorporating AI and Innovation in Construction

AI is transforming construction by optimizing project planning, improving resource allocation, and predicting risks. AI-driven automation and machine learning can increase precision, speed up construction, and lower costs.

This integration of AI and innovation is critical to making the construction industry more efficient and capable of meeting demand.

Addressing Labor Shortages and Land Access

Labor shortages in construction can be mitigated through automation and robotics. Additionally, GIS and data analytics can help identify viable construction sites, improving land access.

Impact on Stakeholders

For home buyers, these advancements could result in more affordable and accessible housing options.

For builders, lower costs and fewer regulatory barriers could make projects more viable.

For homeowners, these changes could lead to stable property values and lower maintenance costs.

The Path Forward

Resolving Canada’s housing crisis requires embracing technology and innovation. Collaboration between governments, builders, buyers, and technologists is essential to creating a more efficient and sustainable housing market.

FB Post, good summary

CHMC Post, great data on the housing side of things

CBHA Report, great data on the builder side of things

Costar report, great mashup of the demand and supply side of thing

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